School of International Affairs

Publications

• Book

  Sergunin A. A.

  International Trade and Economic Development in BRICS

  The central thesis of this work is that the long-term viability and coherence of BRICS will be determined not by the mere fact of its economic aggregation, but by its capacity to manage the profound tensions between its centripetal objectives and its centrifugal internal dynamics.

  Singapore: Springer, 2026.

• Article

  Yenikeyeff S.

  The Global Energy Order – 2040: Contours of an Emerging System

  This article maps the contours of the global energy order that may emerge by 2040. It argues that global energy flows are being transformed from a price-driven commodity trade into instruments of strategic power by four simultaneous processes: an uneven low-carbon transition, the securitization of energy flows, the fragmentation of the international monetary system, and the “last wave of decolonization.” By examining logistical chokepoints, the AI-driven surge in electricity demand, the nuclear renaissance, the constraints facing renewables, and contests over critical minerals and Arctic gas, the author identifies a paradigm shift. Specifically, the petrodollar system may be yielding to an electrodollar model, in which access to reliable low-carbon electricity near data centers is becoming a critical determinant of technological power. Finally, the author assesses four scenarios for 2040—managed renewal, a Chinese-led order, fragmentation into regional blocs, and systemic rupture—ultimately concluding that regional fragmentation is the most probable outcome.

  Russia in Global Affairs. 2026. Vol. 24. No. 4. P. 10-41.

• Book chapter

  Sinyavskaya O., Makarov I. A., Biryukova S. et al.

  Sustainable development and resource abundance

  In bk.: BRICS Cooperation Progress According to the BTTC Indicator System 2025/2026. M.: BRICS Expert Council – Russia, 2026. P. 260-350.

• Working paper

  Romain D.

  NAVIGATING COMPLEXITIES: THE EU'S PERCEPTIONS OF CHINA'S ROLE IN THE UKRAINIAN CONFLICT AND IMPLICATIONS FOR THE EU-CHINA RELATIONSHIP

  The EU-China relationship has evolved from a mere economic partnership to a multifaceted relation, with the EU perceiving China as a cooperation partner, economic competitor, and systemic rival since 2019. In 2022, the eruption of armed conflict in Ukraine prompted a significant response from the EU, including sanctions against Russia and indirect measures like capping Russian oil prices for third countries. This event triggered a shift in EU foreign policy, with China maintaining neutrality while facing assertive European demands. This article examines the EU's view of China's response to the Ukrainian conflict, analyzing China's peace principles and their potential impact on the broader EU-China relationship.

  International Relations. IR. Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2023