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Regular version of the site

Online project experts' seminar: Contemporary area studies

On Friday, 27th of March as a part of the joint project of the School of International Regional Studies of HSE University and the Russian Middle East Association the online meeting with Dr. Imad Rizk, Director of Institute for Strategic and Communication Studies in Lebanon (Isticharia-ISCS) was held on the topic “The Middle East after “Corona”: The Future of Syria, Libya, and Yemen in Balance of Regional Powers – Turkey, Iran & Israel”.

The meeting started with the welcoming speech of the Head of School of International Regional Studies of the Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs (HSE University), Associate Professor Vera Vishnyakova. Professor Vishnyakova emphasized that the meetings with experts are held at the Faculty on regular basis, but this was the first time to conduct it in innovative online format due to the recent outbreak of coronavirus and global trend to digitalization.

Dr. Imad Rizk discussed in his speech the future of the Middle East countries after the coronavirus and the possible affect on the global balance of power. According to the expert, the virus will only add to the existing crisis of the countries caused mostly by the Arab Spring and global hostility towards Muslim countries after the terroristic attack of September 11. Besides the general impact on domestic and global economies, the most affected sectors will be tourism, including the pilgrimage and oil market. The crisis will touch upon the regional powers such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE and have an impact on the Gulf economy as a whole. For the first time after World War I, the world is going to face the new architecture of the states.

Dr. Rizk supposes that the full aftereffect of the virus will be seen in a year and a half, but even nowadays the countries like Syria, Libya and Yemen are facing the domestic crises that shape the Middle East. Lebanon, Iraq, Syria, and Libya are dealing with the economic collapse and the crisis in Iran is escalating dramatically, what, in addition to other problems, predetermines the poor epidemic treatment and incorrect demographic data.

           An important role in the Middle East is played by international powers. The U.S. is following its own security interests in the region, while China is interested in searching partners for the Belt and Road Initiative. For Russia, a big challenge is a negotiation over the oil prices with Saudi Arabia, which can cause a bigger crisis since 2003. The expert noted as well the humanitarian aid that Russia provides for other countries, especially Italy and Syria, in the time of the global pandemic. The Middle East is a part of the world, which is heavily affected by the virus and cannot rely only on domestic resources. The coronavirus will reshape the world order and make counties more competitive in the fields of nano- and pharmaceutical technologies.

           After the speech, Dr. Rizk answered the questions of the participants and expressed the hope for future fruitful cooperation.

 

Video is active to the link: https://youtu.be/XxRXTeYcVEk